2024 MLB Season Preview: Texas Rangers

Image


2023 Record: 90-72 (.556 win%, t-1st in Division)

2024 Payroll: $215,710,000 (7th)


2024 Projected Lineup:

1. 2B Marcus Semien (R), .265 AVG/.336 OBP/.460 SLG, 4.4 fWAR

2. SS Corey Seager (L), .294 AVG/.367 OBP/.525 SLG, 4.3 fWAR

3. 1B Nathaniel Lowe (L), .274 AVG/.351 OBP/.447 SLG, 2.0 fWAR

4. RF Adolis García (R), .244 AVG/.309 OBP/.466 SLG, 2.5 fWAR

5. 3B Josh Jung (R), .254 AVG/.305 OBP/.448 SLG, 2.5 fWAR

6. LF Evan Carter (L), .255 AVG/.354 OBP/.411 SLG, 1.7 fWAR

7. DH Wyatt Langford (R), .264 AVG/.339 OBP/.477 SLG, 1.2 fWAR

8. C Jonah Heim (S), .247 AVG/.309 OBP/.424 SLG, 3.6 fWAR

9. CF Leody Taveras (S), .260 AVG/.318 OBP/.415 SLG, 2.2 fWAR

10. UTL Ezequiel Duran (R), .253 AVG/.301 OBP/.422 SLG, 0.4 fWAR

2024 Projected Starting Rotation:

1. RHP Nathan Eovaldi, 170.0 IP/4.18 ERA/1.27 WHIP, 2.3 fWAR

2. RHP Jon Gray, 160.0 IP/4.31 ERA/1.29 WHIP, 2.3 fWAR

3. RHP Dane Dunning, 167.0 IP/4.47 ERA/1.38 WHIP, 1.8 fWAR

4. LHP Andrew Heaney, 140.0 IP/4.50 ERA/1.31 WHIP, 1.4 fWAR

5. RHP Max Scherzer, 111.0 IP/3.96 ERA/1.16 WHIP, 2.0 fWAR

2024 Projected Top 4 Relievers:

1. RHP José Leclerc, 66.0 IP/4.29 ERA/1.33 WHIP, 0.4 fWAR

2. RHP David Robertson, 63.0 IP/4.31 ERA/1.35 WHIP, 0.3 fWAR

3. RHP Josh Sborz, 64.0 IP/3.89 ERA/1.28 WHIP, 0.7 fWAR

4. LHP Brock Burke, 60.0 IP/3.84 ERA/1.22 WHIP, 0.3 fWAR


A Successful Hire:

Baseball is back, Arlington! Not that it was ever gone, but the early 2010s proved to be a fun era for Rangers fans, adding a solid rotation to one of the most stacked lineups of the decade. Then, the organization hit a rough patch, particularly in the Chris Woodward era of 2019-22, the final four of what was six-straight losing seasons. So, what led to the organization turning things around, enough to earn its first World Series title?

It turns out that hiring former big leaguer Chris Young as General Manager may have been the key. We see this happening more and more in Major League Baseball. Following Young’s World Series success story in just his third season as GM, this offseason saw the hires of Craig Breslow by Boston and Chris Getz by Kansas City, following the Dodgers’ Brandon Gomes hire the year before. And sure, why not? It makes sense. You want player buy-in and who better to head up the baseball side of things than someone who’s been there, done that.

Yes, it’s easy to spend money if your owner gives you the right of way, and you could make the argument that the Rangers bought their way to a championship. And, if you have the means, then not taking the opportunity to fork over payroll to guys like Seager, Semien, Eovaldi, Gray, deGrom, Montgomery, and Scherzer would be an opportunity missed. But, as seen in the team from Queens with Big Money Steve, there is no right way to spend. It’s about piecing the puzzle together and making adjustments where necessary. It doesn’t happen overnight, and it’s clear Young did it his way. Injuries may have made the Rangers’ ride feel more like Titan at Six Flags than a smooth merry-go-round. In any case, though, Texas took home the ultimate title. The question, however, is whether they can do it again. 


2023-24 Offseason Recap:

The offseason didn’t really go as many Rangers fans may have prepared for. An ended contract between Texas and the bankrupt Diamond Sports Group led to the World Series champion organization’s means of broadcast being up in the air right up to spring training. Nonetheless, the two companies reconvened and inked a one-year deal in February, marking the most significant contract the Rangers signed this offseason.

Many argued that the organization’s broadcast situation being in limbo was the ultimate reason behind Young spending less in free agency. Going into the offseason, the Rangers’ GM noted that you wouldn’t be seeing the same heavy spending as was the case the prior two years. In any case, I don’t think anyone expected that the team’s biggest signing (up to March 12th) was going to be reliever David Robertson (one year, $11.5 million).

I say “up to March 12th” since there are still a few big-named pitchers on the market. And, with Scherzer down until at least June and deGrom until at least August, the Rangers have a glaring hole at the back end of the rotation. The squad did add right-hander Tyler Mahle (two years, $22 million) to potentially fill this role, but his status is also up in the air after missing the entire 2023 season due to a torn UCL. 

With Jordan Montgomery and Blake Snell still unsigned, you have to wonder whether Texas is in the mix for either. Young recently voiced that a Montgomery return appears unlikely, while Snell seems headed to either Anaheim or the Bronx. At this point, the Rangers are rather content with their roster, having retained the majority of their major league squad. For a deeper look at the few Rangers’ offseason notables, here is a list of key acquisitions and departures:

Key Acquisitions:

  • Kirby Yates, RHP – one year, $4.5 million
  • Tyler Mahle, RHP – two years, $22 million
  • Andrew Knizner, C – one year, $1.825 million
  • David Robertson, RHP – one year, $11 million
  • Travis Jankowski, OF – one year, $1.7 million (re-signed)

Key Departures:


2024 Regular Season Preview:

Starting Lineup

The lineup the Rangers roll out on Opening Day 2024 won’t appear much different from that a year ago. The core is in tact and the only key player who left is Garver. This leaves Jonah Heim as the only legitimate option behind the plate and an open spot in the lineup for a big bopper. However, the organization didn’t go out and buy a single starting lineup option. So, who is filling the open slot in ‘24?

Last year, we were asking the same questions about third base and left field. Josh Jung came into the season with only 102 major league plate appearances under his belt, and while he was a big name in the Rangers’ system for years, there was no guarantee regarding his performance. Jung surpassed all expectations and beyond, posting 23 home runs alongside his .781 OPS and an All-Star bid. There’s nothing not to like about what this jung third baseman brings to the batters’ box. He simply mashes baseballs. For reference, Jung finished in the top 20% of the league in every major Statcast category, with a 98th percentile finish in SweetSpot%. This is not to mention his finish in the top 10% of the league in Outs Above Average over at third. He does it all, folks. You may worry about the sophomore slump, but Jung’s game is so projectable that it’s unlikely he’ll disappoint.

As for left field, the position was a bit shaky for the larger part of the season, accruing average performances from Ezequiel Duran and Robbie Grossman. When the time came, though, for top prospect Evan Carter to make his major league debut, the Rangers found their left-field problem solved with the playoffs just up ahead. Carter mashed five home runs and four doubles in just 62 at bats during the regular season, before matching a .300 AVG performance in the playoffs in another 60 opportunities. It didn’t take long for the young outfielder to make an impression or for him to earn his first World Series ring. So, yes Carter has the potential to be an excellent big-league ball player. However, I will offer a bit more caution here than with Jung. The sample size is still extremely small, and a slump is bound to come at some point. At every level, though, Carter has hit for high average, walked a ton, and displayed strong abilities on both the basepath and in the outfield. You may just have another star on your hands, Rangers fans.

There isn’t much to say about lineup spots one through four outside of the fact that this is arguably the best quartet to roll out in the first inning in baseball. Semien, Seager, Lowe, García. You have the definition of a leadoff hitter in the game’s best second baseman. Semien has led the league in games played and plate appearances for four straight seasons (excluding 2020) and earned his first hit title in 2023. He also virtually doesn’t strike out and is the best defensive second baseman in all of baseball in terms of OAA. Expect Semien to play another 160+ in 2024. 

Seager was your AL MVP in ‘23 had it not been for a certain two-way superstar. We could talk about Seager’s offensive numbers for days, but I would like to highlight how improved his defense has been in the last two seasons as opposed to prior. Seager hadn’t had positive OAA since 2017 but has now put together repeat seasons as an above-average defensive shortstop. Add this to his gaudy stats with the bat, and you truly have one of the league’s superstars. With Ohtani moved on to the National League, is Seager the AL MVP frontrunner? He’s certainly in the conversation.

Lowe rounds out the infield at first base and is yet another defensive turnaround story. He went from M-SABR Iron Pyrite Glove Award winner in 2022 to the exact opposite in ‘23, reeling in his first Gold Glove Award. With the bat, Lowe has been a model of consistency, posting above-average statistics and near-Semien games played in three straight seasons. Lowe has certainly become one of the league’s best first baseman and deserves an All-Star bid, an accolade he has yet to achieve.

Adolis García crushes baseballs. What more is there to say? 39 bombs, 29 doubles, top 10% of the league in every power category. Very few barrel the ball like García, requiring not only raw strength but immaculate precision. In addition to his power bat, the Rangers’ right fielder even brought in a Gold Glove, attributed to his power arm and ability to track balls down despite not possessing an elite run tool. I don’t think it’s too brash to say that García could be an MVP candidate as well, though this would require a cutdown of his weighty strikeout totals.

Switch-hitters Jonah Heim and Leody Taveras will likely see a lot of plate appearances near the end of the order in ‘24, showcasing the great lineup depth the Rangers have put together. Heim is an All-Star, Gold Glove catcher in his own right, while Taveras possesses elite field, arm, and run tools. He even posts average offensive numbers as a solid contact bat. These guys are quality major leaguers that many teams would be happy to have at the top of their lineups. This Texas offense, top-to-bottom, is deadly.

So, there is one lineup spot remaining, that hole created by the Garver departure. Who better to fill it than another young stud? Wyatt Langford, the fourth overall selection in last year’s MLB Amateur Draft, had finished up his junior year as the best hitter in college baseball. The numbers he posted were absurd, especially considering he played in the SEC. Then, it took him about a month to rise from rookie ball to Triple-A, mashing pitchers at every level. Not many thought it would be possible for him to make the major league roster so soon, but his spring training performance thus far has seemingly earned him a spot. If not, it probably won’t take long for Langford to be called up. With just about the best hit tool of any major league prospect, the Rangers young outfielder should be a top AL Rookie of the Year candidate. He’ll be competing with the likes of Jackson Holliday and teammate Evan Carter. 

So, all summed up, this lineup has the potential to be just about the best in baseball. I don’t think it’s a stretch to assume that Langford will produce more than Garver did, while the rest of the lineup remains the same as that which was rolled out during the World Series run. After finishing third in baseball in runs scored in 2023, if the squad stays healthy, I believe you are looking at the top scoring offense in baseball in ‘24.

Bench

The Rangers have largely avoided injury trouble on the offensive side of the ball in recent years. However, Jung and Lowe are likely to start the season on the IL, and Seager may be delayed as well. While none of these injuries are of long-term seriousness, it begs the question: if Texas does get into some injury trouble, do they have the depth to survive it?

The short answer is no. The team is already relying on two rookies and a second-year player in their starting lineup, which presents some questions of consistency. And, beyond the starting nine and Ezequiel Duran, there really aren’t any viable starting options. As a Utility man, Duran did post some pretty solid offensive numbers, and I think there’s no doubt he’s an important piece for the Rangers. Does his bat have star-power in the long-term? Probably not, but his ability to play multiple positions and present as a bottom-of-the-order option will prove valuable if injuries hamper the Texas offense.

Signing catcher Andrew Knizner, who has a career .621 OPS with St. Louis and poor defensive metrics, isn’t really of great importance. Obviously, a backup catcher is necessary, but Heim played 131 games last year and is likely to see even more action in ‘24. Just like Semien, Lowe, and the majority of the Rangers squad, though, Heim’s substantial game action could present a potential issue. Texas simply has too few guys who have all played too many games in recent years. This combination seems likely to lead to injuries and a serious depth issue.

As it stands, other bench options include Travis Jankowski, Josh Smith, José Barrero, and Sam Huff. In short, none of these guys impress. Jankowski is likely to be a decent outfield option off the bench, while Smith and Barrero present no obvious benefit. Huff is interesting, a former top prospect who has seen some big league time. A catcher through the system, Huff may need to make a full-time transition to first base — or at least one for the start of ‘24 as Lowe deals with injury.

In all honesty, these depth options aren’t enough. If all goes as planned, the Rangers will have a top-of-the-line offense, but a few injuries later and the dropoff would be drastic. At the very least, Texas should look into FA options like Evan Longoria or Donovan Solano

Rotation

Similar to the offense, the Rangers have a very top-heavy pitching staff with minimal depth at the moment. Injuries are already at play for guys like Scherzer and deGrom, while it’s unlikely signee Mahle is ready for the season. This leaves the Rangers with four starters and what will probably be a bullpen game in slot five.

With expected returns from deGrom and Scherzer later in the season, this staff has the potential to be one of the league’s best by the time the playoffs roll around. However, what will things look like around the halfway mark? Given the lack of depth on both sides of the ball, a few injuries to key players like Seager and Eovaldi could derail the Rangers’ season and lead to an ugly start.

Nathan Eovaldi has struggled with injuries in the past and is very unlikely to start 30+ games in 2024. When he is on the rubber, though, the righty is going to dominate. There’s something particularly competitive about Eovaldi that is extremely fun to watch. Becoming less reliant on his fastball as the years have gone on while producing a lower walk rate year-over-year shows just how he has matured. Eovaldi has evolved into a pitcher, rather than a high-velocity thrower as was the case earlier in his career. Expect good things from the Rangers’ ace when he’s out there.

Jon Gray, Dane Dunning, and Andrew Heaney all fall into a similar bucket for me. None of them are elite, nor will they ever be elite, but they provide innings and reliability day in and day out. Gray possesses below-average stuff across the board, but like Eovaldi has learned how to sequence, locate, and leverage what he does have available to him to be a pretty successful big league pitcher. However, with age has come serious declines in the sharpness of his pitches, so I wouldn’t expect to see much improvement from Gray. If anything, his performance could fall drastically in 2024.

Dunning has an interesting low three-quarter delivery and is truly an east-west pitcher as opposed to north-south. He’s a sinker-slider guy who plays these two pitches off of one another extremely well. The sinker had an elite 17 run value mark, while his slider performance was above average as well. Dunning’s secondary options are really nothing special and don’t present any benefit outside of deception. Low walk and home run numbers prove promising for Dunning’s development, and his improvement year-by-year shows the potential for another step up in ‘24. Of any of these options, I would say Dunning has the best breakout opportunity.

Heaney, a veteran lefty, has a 4.49 career ERA and clear ability to go deep into games. There is equally nothing not to hate about Heaney and nothing to get excited about. His three-pitch arsenal is very average. Everything about this guy is average. In a rotation full of righties, Heaney does present something different in a series clincher, for example, but he’s not gonna blow your socks off. With a 4.66 FIP in ‘23, the second-worst mark of his career, we can definitely consider a decline in performance as more likely than the opposite.

I’m not even sure what to think about Tyler Mahle coming off the surgery, nor for Scherzer or deGrom. The former Twin was pretty solid before Tommy John with a career 4.30 ERA, however, there is no telling how he’s going to look post-surgery. With Mahle as another average option at best, it seems as though the Rangers are lacking starpower, at least until Scherzer and deGrom return. If the offense plays, though, an average staff will satisfy until they are healthy.     

Bullpen

The four main Rangers starters all have the ability to go deep into games and are pretty consistent innings-wise. So, the bullpen depth doesn’t necessarily need to be fantastic, but as a contending team, innings seven through nine should be lockdown. And, I’m not so sure this is the case for Texas.

Leclerc is likely to be the closer, and he’s typical of the job – a high-velocity, high-whiff, high-walk kinda guy. Though the 96 mph fastball definitely plays, I’d like to highlight Leclerc’s slider. He throws it nearly as much as the four-seamer, which is atypical of the high-velo prototype, and sees an absurd 50% whiff rate. He generally doesn’t throw it near the zone, dotting low and off the plate away against righties, yet it’s so deceptive he tends to get a lot of swings. If Leclerc could sure up the wildness just a bit, he could be one of the league’s best closers.

David Robertson is entering his age-39 season and continues to sign one-year deals. Self-representing, when Robertson first signed a similar deal with Philly in 2019, I honestly thought he was going to be nearing the end of his career. Five years later, and he’s still signing one-year deals and performing at a high level. At some point, we have to expect some sort of dropoff in performance as may have been evidenced by his 5.06-ERA stint with Miami following a trade from the Mets last year. He’s still showing great pitch movement and high spin on his heavily-used cutter, though, so D-Rob may just be timeless.

Other right-handed options out of the pen include Josh Sborz, Kirby Yates, Grant Anderson, and Jonathan Hernández. None of these guys are overwhelmingly exciting, though the Yates free-agent signing could pay off well. Once of the league’s top relievers, the veteran arm had a slew of major injuries which derailed his career. Yates rebounded in 2023, though, posting a 3.28 ERA in 60.1 innings with Atlanta. His velocity was back up, and he was as healthy as ever. Entering his age-37 season, it’s unlikely Yates will return to old form but could definitely be a reliable option for the Rangers.

The all-important lefty department is pretty thin for Texas, with Brock Burke and Cody Bradford as the only options who have seen significant innings at the big-league level. Burke will prove very important for the Rangers, as the main left-handed option. One of the league’s best relievers in ‘22, Burke saw a decline in performance a year ago, dropping from a 1.97 to 4.37 ERA in 20 less innings. He’s a low-walk, low-strikeout pitcher who relies on inducing weak contact. In 2023, though, the 40% hard-hit rate he allowed was simply far too high. I’d like to see Burke actually pitch outside of the zone a bit more; he has solid stuff and a strong fastball but generally doesn’t locate for the chase. If he can induce a bit more swing-and-miss, Burke could be a great option.

In total, the bullpen is, just like every other department, pretty thin on depth. Relying on veterans like Robertson and Yates probably isn’t ideal, and it’s not like Leclerc, Burke, or any other younger option have outstanding track records. If I was Young, I’d look into bringing in some more options. He knows his team, though, so maybe there are some guys waiting in the wings.


Player to Watch #1: SS Corey Seager

Last year, the star player I watched was Jacob deGrom. That didn’t work out so well, so I hope not to jinx things again this year. As a Tigers fan, but just a baseball fan above all, I absolutely hate to see injuries in the game, especially amongst those who are so important, like Seager.

The Rangers shortstop is a bonafide superstar. He won NL Rookie of the Year back in 2016, is a four-time All-Star, three-time Silver Slugger, and two-time World Series champion. This is not to mention the fact that he was the WS MVP both times, making him just the fourth player in MLB history to earn the honors twice. The others: Reggie Jackson, Bob Gibson, and Sandy Koufax. I mean, talk about good company!

This really does the raise the question, though: does Seager have a potential Hall of Fame career ahead of him? It’s difficult to say as he enters his age-30 season. Right now, it seems pretty unlikely, but if he continues to post 30+ home run, 40+ double,  .900+ OPS seasons as has been the case in recency, it’s possible he could be a late bloomer option. The home run totals simply aren’t there right now, for now. Also, get this man his MVP! Ohtani’s gone from the AL, so it may just be time. 

Player to Watch #2: OF Wyatt Langford

For my breakout star, there is no denying the hit tool of Wyatt Langford. We talked about it earlier, but all he has ever done is hit. Usually, you see some sort of off-year from Little League through Triple-A, but not for this guy! Yes, he only has 200 professional plate appearances but a 1.157 OPS nonetheless.

Langford might not be the guy to go hit 40 bombs (though he could) or steal 30 bases or earn a Gold Glove in the outfield, but he’s well rounded across the board and has bat-to-ball ability for days. As of March 12th, Langford is tied for the league-lead with four homers (in just 23 at-bats) in spring training, and he’s not just poking them over the fence. These are moonshots, with his most recent traveling 440 feet.

The defensive tools aren’t amazing, but it doesn’t really matter considering how good the bat is. It’s likely he will DH a lot and then play left field when either Carter or Taveras aren’t. Speaking of Carter, the AL Rookie of the Year race has a clear Rangers and Orioles bias, with arguably the top four or five candidates coming from these two squads. This seems pretty unfair to the rest of the AL, considering these two teams either had the league’s best record or won the World Series in 2023. After watching some Wyatt Langford highlights, though, I think Texas may just have the ROTY frontrunner.   

Player to Watch #3: RP Grant Anderson

Alright, time to check out a funky reliever. This guy is pretty fun to watch. Standing at 6’0”, 180 lbs., it’s not like Grant Anderson is a very big dude, nor does he have the most electric fastball. However, he makes things work with a high leg kick which drops down to a side-winding release. Somehow, he average a 93 mph fastball with heavy break from down there. 

Such a release point is usually pretty difficult in a right-on-right matchup, especially considering he throws his slider 50% of the time. This proved to be the case statistically, allowing a 1.21 WHIP against righties and 2.10 against left-handed hitters. Anderson will play more as a matchup option than anything, as his use as a long-reliever went awry, posting a 5.05 ERA in 35.2 innings.

If he can largely see right-on-right options, I think Anderson could put together a pretty solid season. His FIP was far lower than his ERA at 4.66, showing he was a bit unlucky in ‘23. All things told, with some improvements in year two, Anderson has the potential to be a good option for Texas and, at the very least, interesting to watch.

Position Group to Watch: Outfielders

Last year, I questioned whether the Rangers had the best infield in the league, and they may have proven me right. Seager and Semien finished second and third in MVP voting, respectively, which certainly makes them the best middle-infield duo, and you could argue that the supplemental performances of Lowe and Jung were enough to bring this unit to the top of the list.

Now, in 2024, does the Texas outfield have the potential to be the best in the league? I think there’s a world, though unlikely, where this is the case. First, from a defensive standpoint, García is a Gold Glove winner, Taveras should be in the conversation, and Carter is a centerfielder playing in left. So, this side of the ball is not an issue. And, offensively, García is a proven option with the ability to hit 35+ bombs in any given season.

What this conjecture relies upon, though, is the offensive performance of rookies Carter and Langford, MLB’s fifth- and sixth- ranked prospects heading into 2024. If these two are toe-to-toe in the AL Rookie of the Year race the entire season, I think there’s no denying the star power of the Rangers’ outfield. One of these guys goes down due to injury, though, or doesn’t live up to expectations, and this idea goes out the window. What this does show, though, is that this outfield potential combined with an already proven infield could lead the Texas offense to rival that of the Atlanta Braves.  


2024 Record Prediction: 88-74

Last year, most publications had the Rangers winning anywhere between 70 and 80 games going into the season. I found myself near the lower-to-middle area before digging in but reached the end of my analysis realizing that Texas was a team with a ton of potential. I predicted 80 wins with the hope of not deriving too far from public perception, while showcasing optimism for the squad. I convinced myself that the Rangers weren’t going to be an above-.500 team. So, I was wrong but notably not nearly as wrong as general consensus.

Rangers fans told me this was a playoff team, and boy were they correct. This year, the perception entering the season is quite obviously different. It appears most publications have the team anywhere between 86 and 94 wins, likely cemented in the playoffs. I do believe this is a playoff team at its core but wonder what happens if injuries pop up. As discussed, there is clear lack of depth across the board. It’s nearly impossible to predict injuries (unless discussing Jacob deGrom), so using this as criteria is unreliable.

I think this opening day roster doesn’t quite live up to last year’s, though, mostly due to some notable names being missing from the pitching staff. Until Scherzer and deGrom return, I do not believe this Rangers team will have the same early season success as a year ago. Through July, Texas was 60-46 in 2023. I’ll take five wins off that total, bringing us to 55-51 going into the final third. This is when the pitching staff should rebound and trade deadline moves are made. I’ll take the 30-26 finish from last year and add three wins, bringing us to 33-23 in the final two months. This brings us to an 88-74 record.  

Given the AL East powerhouse division will likely dominate the league, I could actually see 88 wins being enough to take the AL West crown. The Astros have certainly not improved since last year, and the Mariners should stick around a similar win total. It’s safe to say that, just like last year, the division title is going to come down to the final few games of the season. I’ll give the Rangers another tie for first, this time with the Mariners.

The Orioles, Rays, and Yankees should all produce better records than Texas, and I think the Twins will be right there as well. This would bring the Rangers to either a three or six seed, meaning they would play Seattle in the Wild Card series. Home field advantage clearly doesn’t matter, given how the playoffs went last year for Texas, so in either case, I would predict that the Rangers would move on to the ALDS.

From this point forward, it would be a matter of outlasting the AL East for Texas, something which has been happening in the playoffs in recency. So, with the right late season moves and the health of Scherzer and deGrom, I could see the Rangers making yet another run at a title.



Categories: 2024 Season Preview, Articles, Season Analysis

Tags: ,

Leave a comment